
°í¿ëºñ¿ëÁö¼ö, Employment Cost Index (ECI)
l ¹ßǥó: Bureau of Labor and Statistics
l ¹ßÇ¥ÀÏ: 4ºÐ±â ù°´Þ ¸¶Áö¸· ¿µ¾÷ÀÏ ¿ÀÀü8:30 µ¿ºÎ½Ã°¢±âÁØ (ÀüºÐ±â ¹ßÇ¥)
l ÀÎÅͳÝÁÖ¼Ò: http://stats.bls.gov/news.release/eci.nr0.htm
ºÐ±âº°·Î ¹ßÇ¥µÇ´Â °í¿ëºñ¿ëÁö¼ö´Â ³ó¾÷À» Á¦¿ÜÇÑ »ê¾÷ÀÇ ÀÓ±Ý µîÀ» Æ÷ÇÔÇÑ °í¿ëºñ¿ë°ú ºñÇö±Ý ¼öÀÍÀÇ º¯È¸¦ ÃøÁ¤ÇÑ´Ù. ÀÌ Áö¼öÀÇ ÁÖ¿äÇÑ ÀåÁ¡ Áß Çϳª´Â ÀÌ·± º¯¼öµéÀÇ ¼ºÀå·üÀ» ÆÄ¾ÇÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖÀ» »Ó ¾Æ´Ï¶ó Àӱݰú ¼öÀÍÀ» °è»óÇØ¼ ±× º¯È¸¦ ºÐ¼®ÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù´Â Á¡ÀÌ´Ù. ´Ù¸¥ ÁöºÒ ¼ö´Üµé¿¡ ´ëÇØ ÀÌ Áö¼ö°¡ °®´Â ¿ìÀ§´Â ½Ã°£´ç ÀÓ±Ý ³ëµ¿ÀÚµéÀ» Æ÷ÇÔÇϰí Á÷¾÷º°, »ê¾÷º°, Áö¿ªº°·Î ºÐ¼®ÇÑ´Ù´Â Á¡ÀÌ´Ù. °í¿ëºñ¿ëÁö¼ö´Â ¿¬¹æÁ¤ºÎ±Ù·ÎÀÚÀÇ ÀÓ±ÝÀº Æ÷ÇÔ½ÃŰÁö ¾Ê´Â´Ù.
The Employment Cost Index is a quarterly survey of employer payrolls in the final month of the quarter. The ECI tracks movement in the cost of labour which includes wages, fringe benefits, and bonuses for employees at all levels of involvement in the companies. Wages and salaries make up approximately 75% of the indexes value. The one benefit not included in the ECI is employee stock options, which actually don't cost employers anything to issue.
°³ÀμöÀÔ, Personal Income(PI)°ú °³ÀμҺñÁöÃâ, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)
l ¹ßǥó: The Bureau of Economic Analysis of the Department of Commerce.
l ¹ßÇ¥ÀÏ: ¸Å¿ù ù¹øÂ° ¿µ¾÷ÀÏ ¿ÀÀü 8:30 (µ¿ºÎ½Ã°¢±âÁØ) (2°³¿ù ÀüÄ¡)
l ÀÎÅͳÝÁÖ¼Ò: http://www.bea.doc.gov/bea/rels.htm -- see personal income release.
PCE·Î ¾Ë·ÁÁø °³ÀÎ ¼Òºñ´Â ½ÃÀå¿¡¼ °³Àο¡ ÀÇÇØ °Å·¡µÇ´Â ¸ðµç ÀçÈ¿Í ¼ºñ½ºÀÇ º¯È¸¦ ¾Ë·ÁÁØ´Ù. ÀÌ´Â GDPÀÇ °¡Àå Å« ±¸¼º¿ä¼Ò´Ù. °³ÀÎ ¼öÀÔÀº °³ÀÎÀÌ °ÅµÐ ¸ðµç ¼öÀÔÀ» °è»óÇÑ ¼öÄ¡ÀÇ º¯È¸¦ ³ªÅ¸³½´Ù. ¼öÀÔ¿ø¿¡´Â ÀÓ±Ý ¹× ±Þ·á, °æ¿µÀÚ¼öÀÔ, ÀÓ´ë·á, ¹è´ç±Ý ¹× ÀÌÀÚ, ÀÌÀü¼öÀÔ(»çȸº¸Çè, ½Ç¾÷¼ö´ç, º¹Áö¼ö´ç) µîÀÌ Æ÷ÇԵȴÙ. ÀÌ µÎ ¼öÄ¡ÀÇ ¹ßÇ¥¸¦ ÅëÇØ °¡Ã³ºÐ¼Òµæ(=°³Àμҵæ-¼¼±Ý)¿¡¼ ¼Òºñ¸¦ »« ±Ý¾×À» °¡Ã³ºÐ¼ÒµæÀ¸·Î ³ª´« ÀúÃà·üÀ» °è»êÇØ ³¾ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù. Áö¼ÓÀûÀ¸·Î ¶³¾îÁö°í ÀÖ´Â ÀúÃà·üÀº ¼ÒºñÀÚ ÁöÃâ À¯Çü¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ½ÅÈ£À̱⠶§¹®¿¡ »ìÆìº¸¾Æ¾ß ÇÒ Áß¿äÇÑ ÁöÇ¥°¡ µÇ¾ú´Ù.
Personal income measures income from all sources. The largest component of total income is wages and salaries, a figure which can be estimated using payrolls and earnings data from the employment report. Beyond that, there are many other categories of income, including rental income, government subsidy payments, interest income, and dividend income. Personal income is a decent indicator of future consumer demand, but it is not perfect. Recessions usually occur when consumers stop spending, which then drives down income growth. Looking solely at income growth, one may therefore miss the turning point when consumers stop spending. The income report also includes a section covering personal consumption expenditures, also known as PCE. PCE is comprised of three categories: durables, nondurables, and services. The retail sales report will provide a good read on durable and nondurable consumption, while service purchases tend to grow at a fairly steady pace, making this a relatively predictable report, and ranking it well below retail sales in terms of market importance.
±¸¸ÅÀÚ °ü¸®Áö¼ö Chicago PMI
¹ßǥó: Purchasing Management Association of Chicago
National Association of Purchasing Management – Chicago (NAPM-C)¿¡ ÀÇÇÑ »ç¾÷Ȱµ¿ÀÇ ¸Å¿ùÀÇ Á¶»ç´Â À¯ÀÏÇÏ°í ½Ã±â ÀûÀýÇÑ ÀÏ¹Ý °æÁ¦ Ȱµ¿ÀÇ ÃøÁ¤À» Á¦°øÇÑ´Ù. Ȱµ¿ Áß¿¡ ½ÃÀåÀ» ¿òÁ÷ÀÏ ¸¸ÇÑ °¡°Ý ÁöºÒ´ë´Â Àü¹ÝÀû ½ÃÀåÀÇ °ü½ÉÀ» »ê´Ù. ¹Ì±¹ °æÁ¦ÀÇ ½Ã±â ÀûÀýÇÑ ÃøÁ¤À» Á¦°øÇÏ´Â »ê¾÷ÁöÇ¥´Â NAPM-C membershipÀÇ 200¸í Á¤µµ ¼±ÅÃµÈ È¸¿øÀ¸·ÎºÎÅÍÀÇ Á¶»çÀÇ °á°ú·ÎºÎÅÍ ÃøÁ¤µÉ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù. ÀÌ Á¶»ç´Â ¸Å¿ùÀÇ ¸¶Áö¸· ÀÏÇÏ´Â ³¯ÀÎ ¹Ì±¹ Ç¥Áؽà ¿ÀÀü 9½Ã¿¡ ¹ßÇ¥µÈ´Ù.
The monthly survey of business activities by the National Association of Purchasing Management – Chicago (NAPM-C) provides a unique and timely measure of general economic activity. The market -moving series Prices Paid Attracts national attention, while the activity. The Business barometer provides a timely measure of USA economic pervasiveness of economic trends can be guaged from the results of this survey fo around 200 selected members of the NAPM-C membership (response rate about50%). The survey is released on the last working day of each month at 9am USA Central Time.
The National Association of Purchasing Management - Chicago compiles a survey and a composite diffusion index of business conditions in the Chicago area. Manufacturing and non-manufacturing firms are both surveyed, but until recently, market players have believed that the survey primarily covers the manufacturing sector. Readings above 50 percent indicate an expanding business sector. The NAPM - Chicago is considered a leading indicator of the ISM manufacturing index. (ÀÌÄڳ뵥ÀÌ ¹öÀü)
Àü¹Ì ±¸¸Å°ü¸® Çùȸ ½ÃÄ«°í ÁöºÎ´Â ½ÃÄ«°í Áö¿ªÀÇ »ç¾÷ȯ°æ¿¡ ´ëÇØ Á¶»çÇÏ¿© Á¾ÇÕÁö¼ö¸¦ »êÃâÇϰí ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù. Á¦Á¶ ¹× ºñÁ¦Á¶ ±â¾÷ ¸ðµÎ°¡ Á¶»ç ´ë»óÀÌÁö¸¸, ÃÖ±Ù±îÁö ½ÃÀå¿¡¼´Â Á¦Á¶ ºÎ¹®ÀÌ ÁÖµÈ Á¶»ç´ë»óÀ̶ó°í »ý°¢ÇØ ¿Ô½À´Ï´Ù. NAPM - Chicago°¡ 50%¸¦ ³ÑÀ» °æ¿ì, ºñÁö´Ï½º ¿µ¿ªÀÌ È®ÀåµÇ°í ÀÖÀ½À» ³ªÅ¸³»¸ç, ¶ÇÇÑ ÀÌ Áö¼ö´Â ISM »ý»êÁö¼öÀÇ ¼±ÇàÁöÇ¥·Î °£Áֵǰí ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù. º» Áö¼ö´Â ¿À·£ ¿ª»ç¸¦ ÅëÇØ »ê¾÷Ȱµ¿°ú ÀÎÇ÷¹À̼ÇÀÇ ÁÁÀº ÁöÇ¥ÀÓÀÌ °ËÁõµÇ¾î, ¹Ì ¿¬¹æÁغñÀºÇà ¶ÇÇÑ ÀÌ ÁöÇ¥¸¦ À¯½ÉÈ÷ °üÂûÇϰí ÀÖ´Ù°í ¾Ë·ÁÁ® ÀÖÀ¸¸ç, ±× °á°ú ±ÝÀ¶½ÃÀå ¶ÇÇÑ º» ÁöÇ¥¿¡ »ó´çÈ÷ ¹Î°¨ÇÏ°Ô ¹ÝÀÀÇϰí ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Çѱ¹½Ã°¢ ÁöÇ¥ ±â°£ Àü¸ÁÄ¡ Á÷Àü¼öÄ¡
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
¿ÀÈÄ09:30 °³Àμҵæ Sep +0.1 +0.5%
PCE ¹°°¡Áö¼ö NA 0.0%
½ÇÁú°³ÀÎÁöÃâ NA 0.0%
°í¿ëºñ¿ëÁö¼ö Q3 +0.7 +0.7%
¿ÀÈÄ10:00 ´º¿å NAPMÁö¼ö Oct NA 404.0
¿ÀÈÄ10:45 ½ÃÄ«°í PMI Oct 52.0 56.7
¿ÀÈÄ10:55 ·ÎÀÌÅÍ/¹Ì½Ã°£´ë
¼ÒºñÀڽɸ®Áö¼ö Oct-F 57.5 70.3
¿ÀÈÄ11:30 ECRIÁÖ°£Áö¼ö w/e 10/17 NA NA
½Ã°£¹ÌÁ¤ ´î·¯½º¿¬Àº PCE Sep NA +2.2%